Summary
Economist and quantitative scientist in development economics, Bayesian time-series forecasting and causal impact evaluation. Turns unstructured administrative data into reliable statistics to help institutions make better-informed decisions, for the World Bank, the Government of Quebec and university research departments. Analyzes each decision-maker's needs and generates the hypotheses to test, mines multiple data sources, quantitative and qualitative, inspects and adjusts their quality, and engineers the features the models need. Then leverages econometrics, machine learning and artificial intelligence to develop, evaluate and run predictive models, and communicates the results through clear presentations and data visualizations that influence decision-making.
Experience
Mar. 2026 – Present
Research Consultant
Development Impact Group (DIME), Development Economics, World Bank Group
- Mined multiple administrative data sources for the labour market diagnostics, negotiating data-sharing agreements with the tax administrations of Liberia and The Gambia on mission.
- Inspected and adjusted data quality by joining three tax registers never linked before (GST, withholding, tax registry), rebuilding the worker-firm link where over 70% of identifiers were missing and restoring roughly half the affected records.
- Engineered a digital-intensity feature by scoring 10,580 job types (some 270,000 formal workers, 3,000+ firms) on O*NET task content, measuring a median pay of USD 583 a month in highly digital jobs against 227 for non-digital work (2025).
- Turned a telecom operator's undocumented data into maps of internet connectivity (98.9% of subscriber rows placed across 40 towns), and extracted the national business registry from paper and PDF into a firm-level database.
- Interacted with stakeholders across fields (students, university faculty, employers) through focus groups and interviews on the supply of digital skills.
- Produced the indicators, figures and SWOT analysis for the diagnostic report, informing the decisions of the World Bank's digital program team and the governments of Liberia and The Gambia.
Jan. 2026 – Present
Research Assistant
Chair in Macroeconomics and Forecasting (CMP), ESG UQAM
- Developed and maintain a daily index of Canadian business conditions, 10,804 values from 1997 to 2026, from a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model estimated by exact Kalman filter, benchmarked against existing indicators.
- Developed and evaluated, and now run in production, a Bayesian Qual-VAR model for monthly forecasts of Canadian recession turning points, at horizons of one to twelve months.
- Maintain the real-time database of official series with revision tracking, and document every modelling decision; estimate Taylor rules (GMM, IV) and a Bayesian SVAR of anticipated monetary-policy shocks.
- Research assistance on arXiv:2605.15092, Monetary Policy in the Media Spotlight (Ayivodji, Briand, Moran, Stevanovic, 2026).
Nov. 2025 – Jun. 2026
Quantitative Research Assistant
CIRANO, Montreal
- Reconstructed Quebec's budget history from 111 vintage budget documents (11,730 rows, 118 fiscal years) by automated PDF extraction.
- Advised the Government of Quebec on the size of its contingency provision, calibrated from five decades of forecast errors with Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall, in a policy report.
Sept. 2026 – Dec. 2026
Teaching Assistant, Financial Econometrics Lab (ECO8600)
ESG UQAM
- Design the material and solutions on matrix calculus, linear algebra, probability, hypothesis testing, linear regression, univariate time series and volatility modelling, and present econometric methods to finance practitioners, in French.
Mar. 2024 – Aug. 2024
Data Analyst
Orange Innovation, Paris
- Analyzed client behaviour on the discounted offer, profiling who took it and mapping take-up, rural against urban, from addresses recovered by an OCR pipeline.
- Designed the impact evaluation (DiD, RDD) and wrote the questionnaire and focus-group guide.
- Prepared presentations and data visualizations for management, after cleaning multisource customer databases of millions of records.
May 2023 – Jul. 2023
Statistician and Research Assistant
LASAARE, Hassan II University, Casablanca
- Verified the survey database in CsPro against the original paper forms, performing data cleaning, recoding, and missing value treatment before authoring the final report.
- Estimated econometric models (Logit, Probit, and an instrumental variables specification with Heckman selection correction on Cobb-Douglas and Stone-Geary forms) to identify the socio-economic determinants of household water consumption in Casablanca under groundwater depletion.
Dec. 2024 – Apr. 2025
Teaching Assistant, Macroeconomics
Université du Québec à Montréal
Graded undergraduate assignments and exams; proctored midterms and finals for large cohorts.
Jan. 2025 – Apr. 2025
Research Logistics Assistant
Université du Québec à Montréal
Centralized faculty publications in collaboration with the Rectorate; contributed to ESG UQAM's internal research database.
Feb. 2023 – May 2023
Private Tutor in Statistics
Anacours, Clermont-Ferrand
Individualized tutoring in statistics and economics at bachelor level.
Education
2024 – Dec. 2026, in progress
MSc in Economics (Quantitative)
Macroeconomics, Econometrics and Forecasting. Thesis: Forecasting with the Qual-VAR Model, the Case of Canada, on recession forecasting from a latent continuous variable and a binary turning-point indicator.
Supervised by Prof. Dalibor Stevanovic (UQAM)
School of Management (ESG UQAM), University of Quebec in Montreal, Canada
2022 – 2024
Master's in Development Economics
Applied Economics
Clermont School of Economics (CERDI), University of Clermont Auvergne, France
2018 – 2021
Bachelor's in Economics and Management
Economics
Hassan II University, Casablanca, Morocco
Technical skills
Econometrics & Risk
- Causal inference (DiD, IV, RDD)
- Bayesian time series (VAR, SVAR, ARIMA)
- Tail risk (VaR, Expected Shortfall)
- Monte Carlo simulation
- Machine learning
Data Engineering
- Microdata linkage
- PDF and web scraping
- OCR
- REST APIs
- Survey design
- Reproducible pipelines
Languages & Tools
- Python
- R
- Stata
- SQL
- MATLAB
- Git
- Power BI
- LaTeX
Selected projects
- Daily Index of Canadian Business Conditions Mixed-frequency dynamic factor model estimated by maximum likelihood with an exact Kalman filter on four components, 1997 to 2026, 10,804 daily values, a test suite run on every change and a replication package rebuilt from source and rejected when it fails its checks.
- Fiscal Risk Provisioning Value-at-Risk on budget forecast errors to calibrate a government's budgetary risk provisions.
- Chinese Financial Flows and Economic Growth Impact of Chinese financing on growth in 147 countries (2000–2021), using IV and dynamic panel methods.
- Geospatial Analysis of Conflict Data Python tools to map high-intensity conflict zones and track their spatio-temporal evolution.
- Macroeconomic Time Series Forecasting ARIMA models in R to forecast the dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators.
Certifications, awards & languages
Certifications
- Unlocking Investment and Finance in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (EMDEs), edX
- Project Monitoring and Evaluation, AFD, 2024
- Associate Data Scientist in R, DataCamp, 2026 (88 h)
- Data Scientist with R, DataCamp, 2023
- Data Analysis with R
- Getting Started with Power BI
- Project Management
Awards & scholarships
- Erasmus International Mobility Grant, 2023
- Merit Scholarship IDGT SFRI CAP 20-25, 2023–2024
- ANAB Master's Scholarship, Nigerien Agency for Scholarships and Grants, 2022–2024
Languages
- French: Native
- Hausa: Native
- English: Fluent
Interpersonal
- Communication
- Adaptability
- Teamwork
- Creative problem solving
- Organizational leadership
Activities & leadership
- President, Graduate Students' Association in Economics (AECSE), UQAM Led the executive committee in organizing academic events, networking sessions, and workshops; managed association budgets and funding requests.
- Student Representative, Economics Program Committee, UQAM
- President, 10th Scientific, Sports, and Cultural Week
- Member of university basketball, football, and chess clubs